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The Dhandho Investor: How to Win Big with Minimal Risk

Quick Summary: Mohnish Pabrai’s The Dhandho Investor is a masterclass in value investing, inspired by the business acumen of the Patel community.

The dhandho approach is simple: seek investments that offer high returns with minimal risk.

The book provides a practical roadmap for investors looking to apply Buffett-style value investing without unnecessary complexity.

Tapan’s Verdict: Dig deep 🧐

Actionable Insights: The Dhandho Approach

Heads, I Win; Tails, I Don’t Lose Much

The essence of the Dhandho approach is finding bets where the downside is limited, but the upside is massive.

Instead of gambling on uncertain opportunities, Mohnish Pabrai advises seeking investments where, even if things go wrong, the loss is minimal.

This asymmetric payoff structure is the foundation of successful investing.

Buy Simple, Existing Businesses with Slow Change

Pabrai argues that the best investments are in businesses that are already operating, rather than startups. The ideal candidates:

  • Have low competition due to high barriers to entry.
  • Belong to industries with slow technological evolution (e.g., railways, utilities, or insurance).
  • Offer steady cash flows without constant reinvestment.

Buy Distressed Businesses at a Discount

The best time to buy is when a company is unloved and its future appears uncertain. Investors should:

  • Look for businesses selling below intrinsic value.
  • Focus on assets that can be turned around or monetised.
  • Ignore short-term pessimism and capitalise on mispricing.

If you need help calculating intrinsic value of a stock, use Screenwich.

The Power of Moats: Competitive Advantage Matters

A business with a durable competitive advantage or a ‘moat’ is far more valuable than one that lacks protection from competitors.

Pabrai advises looking for pricing power, brand strength, or regulatory barriers that make it difficult for new entrants to compete.

A strong moat is often reflected in financial statements through high returns on invested capital (ROIC).

Businesses that competitors struggle to enter or disrupt tend to generate consistent profits over time, making them ideal long-term investments.

This has also been captured in my book review of the University of Berkshire Hathaway.

Make Few, Big, and Infrequent Bets

Following Charlie Munger’s wisdom, Pabrai suggests concentrating bets on rare, high-probability opportunities. Instead of diversifying blindly, investors should:

  • Wait for the perfect pitch, there are no penalties for waiting.
  • Bet heavily when the odds are overwhelmingly in their favour.
  • Avoid constant trading; investing is about patience, not activity.

This is in line with Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger’s idea of Circle of Competence.

Image from the book the Science of Hitting by Ted Williams for an article on Circle of Competence as explained by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger.
Circle of Competence or the science of hitting the perfect pitch?

Arbitrage: Minimise Downside Risk

Arbitrage is the art of eliminating risk while securing upside. Whether it’s through merger arbitrage, special situations, or market mispricing, the goal is always to:

  • Exploit temporary inefficiencies in pricing.
  • Buy with a significant margin of safety.
  • Focus on reducing potential losses rather than chasing gains.

Copy the Best, Don’t Reinvent the Wheel

Pabrai openly admits that the Dhandho approach is heavily inspired by Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and Ben Graham. His advice:

  • Study successful investors and reverse-engineer their strategies.
  • Avoid unnecessary complexity, simplicity wins in investing.
  • Accept that originality is overrated; the best opportunities are often hiding in plain sight.

The Key Questions Before Investing

Before making an investment, Pabrai suggests asking these seven critical questions:

  1. Is this business within my circle of competence?
  2. Do I understand its intrinsic value today and in the future?
  3. Is it selling at a big discount (50% or more)?
  4. Would I be willing to bet a significant portion of my wealth on it?
  5. Is the downside risk minimal?
  6. Does the business have a strong moat?
  7. Is it managed by honest and capable leaders?
What you know vs. what you think you know. Discover the Circle of Competence and boost your decision-making
Circle of Competence

Memorable Quotes

Heads, I win; tails, I don’t lose much!

Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good results. — Warren Buffett

Looking out for mispriced betting opportunities and betting heavily when the odds are overwhelmingly in your favour is the ticket to wealth.

If you enjoy reading books on investing, check out my investing book recommendations. Also, you should check out the below articles:

University of Berkshire Hathaway: How Buffett and Munger Mastered the Art of Business

Education of a Value Investor by Guy Spier: The Mindset Shift You Need for Success

Bulls, Bears, and Other Beasts: Lessons from India’s Stock Market Circus

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