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Mastering Your Circle of Competence: The Secret Sauce to Smarter Decisions

Have you ever wondered, in a world brimming with know-it-alls, what truly sets the savvy apart? It’s not just about accumulating a sea of knowledge but knowing the shores of your expertise. Welcome to the concept of the Circle of Competence. This isn’t just another buzzword; it’s a strategic beacon in the vast ocean of decision-making. In this exploration, we’ll answer what is a circle of competence and delve into the importance of recognizing your circle of competence, revealing why it’s crucial in decision-making.

Understanding the Circle of Competence: Your Superpower Zone

So, what is a Circle of Competence? It is a concept that identifies the range of subjects or skills where an individual truly excels. It’s about distinguishing what you genuinely know from what you think you know, emphasizing the importance of recognizing your knowledge boundaries to guide effective decision-making. 

Simply put, a Circle of Competence means understanding where your expertise lies and sticking to it.

Think of it as your superpower zone. It’s where your expertise shines, and you can make decisions with your eyes closed (well, metaphorically speaking). This isn’t just about what you’ve studied or your job title. It’s the sweet spot where your experience, study, and effort have brewed a perfect cup of ‘I got this.’

This concept is built over time through real-life experience, dedicated study, and focused effort. Factors like profession, spending habits, and product usage can influence the breadth of one’s Circle of Competence. It’s dynamic and capable of expanding with deepened knowledge or contracting if existing expertise is neglected.

It’s extreme specialization, and expanding your Circle of Competence involves a continuous process of learning and adapting to new information and experiences. The initial focus should always be creating your Circle of Competence.

Extreme specialization is the way to succeed. Most people are way better off specializing than trying to understand the world.

Charlie Munger, Tao of Charlie Munger

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Back to the Roots: How Buffett and Munger Defined the Circle of Competence

Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, the dynamic investment duo, were the masterminds behind the Circle of Competence concept, particularly in the investment arena. Their mantra? Stick to what you know like the back of your hand when it comes to investing. 

In his 1996 Berkshire Hathaway letter, Buffett explained:

What an investor needs is the ability to correctly evaluate selected businesses. Note that word ‘selected’: You don’t have to be an expert on every company or even many. You only have to be able to evaluate companies within your circle of competence.

It’s like they were saying, “Invest in your backyard, not in uncharted waters.” They championed the idea of pouring your money into areas where your knowledge runs deep, advising to tread in familiar territories rather than wading into unknown financial waters.

A screenshot of Warren Buffett's 1996 letter to shareholder explaining Circle of Competence
Warren Buffett’s 1996 letter to shareholders.

However, this concept extends beyond investing. For instance, in medicine, specialist doctors like cardiologists excel in their field but may not be as adept in other medical areas. In academia, a historian specializing in medieval Europe demonstrates expertise in that era but not necessarily in other historical periods. Similarly, professional athletes, software developers, and artists often specialize in specific areas, leveraging their unique skills and knowledge.

We have two classes of forecasters: Those who don’t know—and those who don’t know they don’t know.

– Kenneth Galbraith

The Three Zones of the Circle of Competence: From Safe Havens to Risky Frontiers

In a bustling city, three professionals – Julie, Jack, and Charlie – each approach their careers differently, representing the three zones of the Circle of Competence.

Charlie’s Playbook: Staying Safe in the Known Zone

Charlie, a seasoned financial analyst, stays within his ‘What You Know’ zone, making sound decisions based on his market expertise. He occasionally explores the ‘What You Know You Don’t Know’ zone for knowledge but remains cautious in crucial decisions. He has unearthed wisdom on critical thinking from Richard Feynman’s Cargo Cult speech.

Charlie is like your friend who orders flat white every day at the cafe, occasionally experimenting with a batch-brewed Costa Rican coffee. 

Jack’s Misadventures: The Perils of Overconfidence

Jack, an overconfident marketing executive, often ventures into the ‘What You Think You Know’ zone, leading to several professional missteps due to his overestimation of his knowledge. He constantly faces the wrath of the Dunning-Kruger effect. Jack thinks he is a superhero but constantly forgets his cape. 

It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.

– Josh Billings

Julie’s Journey: Venturing into the Unknown with Caution

Julie, a software developer, thrives in the ‘What You Know You Don’t Know’ zone. She’s aware of her competencies but eagerly explores new technologies, balancing risk with the potential for innovation. Julie doesn’t care about Chesterton’s fence. She is a curious cat, experimenting with a new hobby every month.

Charlie, Jack, and Julie’s strategies explain the importance of recognizing and operating within one’s Circle of Competence. Charlie’s success comes from his awareness of his strengths, Jack’s challenges arise from his knowledge overestimation, and Julie’s growth stems from her balanced approach to learning and expanding her competence.

The Edge of Awareness: Importance of Your Circle of Competence

The importance of recognizing your circle of competence cannot be overstated. It’s about embracing your strong suits and having the wisdom to say, “Nope, that’s not my jam.” It’s like knowing exactly when to play your best cards and when to fold.

Grasping the limits of your circle paves the way for calculated risks and savvy growth. It’s like walking a tightrope with a safety net. On the flip side, venturing out too often is like wandering into a maze blindfolded, potentially stumbling into pitfalls and the headache of untangling less-than-stellar decisions.

So you have to figure out what your own aptitudes are. If you play games where other people have the aptitudes and you don’t, you’re going to lose. And that’s as close to certain as any prediction that you can make. You have to figure out where you’ve got an edge. And you’ve got to play within your own circle of competence.

– Charlie Munger

For example, take a creator who’s more behind-the-scenes than front-and-center. They can’t just jump into emulating a YouTube star like MrBeast without first playing to their strengths, say in blogging, before easing into videos.

Similarly, a US investor without a clue about the tech or Chinese markets diving into stocks like Alibaba is like jumping into deep waters without knowing how to swim. And consider a litigation student aiming to switch to software engineering. Without the necessary training, it’s a steep uphill climb, akin to tackling a complex new language without a basic guidebook.

The size of that circle is not very important; knowing its boundaries, however, is vital.

Warren Buffett

So, should you step out of your Circle of Competence? If you’re facing high stakes or keen on minimizing risk, it’s important to be in your circle of competence and stick to the area of your expertise. But, when the risk is lower and there’s room for creativity and innovation, venturing beyond your familiar turf can lead you to those clever, unconventional solutions.

Charlie’s approach of staying in the ‘What You Know’ zone ensures consistent, risk-managed decisions but may lead to missed opportunities. In contrast, Julie’s method promotes growth and innovation but comes with the risk of overreaching and potential mistakes.

Balancing Act: The Dance Between Knowledge and Discovery

In the end, mastering your Circle of Competence isn’t about confining yourself; it’s about knowing when to dance within its boundaries and when to step out for a new tune. It’s this delicate balance between certainty and exploration that carves the path to wisdom and innovation. After all, isn’t life about finding that sweet spot between what we know and what we dare to discover?


If you enjoyed this, you will also like the below:

👉🏽 How do you find, maintain, and expand your Circle of Competence?

👉🏽 Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett’s Circle of Competence investing strategy

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